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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23

Magdeburg

MAG

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Magdeburg61%
Draw22%
Greuther Fürth17%

Expected goals

1.98 – 0.97

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Greuther Fürth will not mind.

60%Possession50%
38%Territory27%
44%From set plays18%
0.11Chance quality0.06
7.6%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.