2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
Hertha BSC
HER
Dynamo Dresden
DYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC61%
Draw22%
Dynamo Dresden17%
Expected goals
2.00 – 0.99
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hertha BSC will have the ball; Dynamo Dresden will not mind.
59%Possession49%
39%Territory31%
7%From set plays39%
0.15Chance quality0.15
4.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.