2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Arminia Bielefeld
ARM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim45%
Draw27%
Arminia Bielefeld28%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.18
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Heidenheim will have the ball; Arminia Bielefeld will not mind.
51%Possession43%
34%Territory34%
45%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.07
7.6%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Arminia Bielefeld. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.