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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23

Darmstadt

DAR

Wolfsburg

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Darmstadt41%
Draw28%
Wolfsburg31%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.20

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

43%Possession62%
38%Territory39%
22%From set plays20%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.5%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.