2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
Bochum
BOC
Hannover 96
HAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum35%
Draw29%
Hannover 9636%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.29
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–110.2%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–09.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession50%
39%Territory37%
38%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.1%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.