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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dynamo Dresden44%
Draw27%
Eintracht Braunschweig28%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.17

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession51%
31%Territory35%
39%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dynamo Dresden, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.