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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Magdeburg

MAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kaiserslautern35%
Draw27%
Magdeburg38%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.47

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Kaiserslautern will not mind.

44%Possession60%
29%Territory38%
19%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.