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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Hertha BSC

HER

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hertha BSC62%
Draw22%
VfL Osnabrück16%

Expected goals

1.94 – 0.90

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hertha BSC will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

59%Possession42%
39%Territory34%
7%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.15
4.6%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.