2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
Hertha BSC
HER
VfL Osnabrück
VFL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC62%
Draw22%
VfL Osnabrück16%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.90
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 2–010.9%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hertha BSC will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.
59%Possession42%
39%Territory34%
7%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.15
4.6%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.