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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Hannover 96

HAN

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9650%
Draw24%
1. FC Nürnberg26%

Expected goals

1.81 – 1.28

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; Hannover 96 will not mind.

50%Possession61%
37%Territory42%
44%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.