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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Greuther Fürth29%
Draw29%
Bochum42%

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.36

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 1–28.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bochum get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession45%
27%Territory39%
18%From set plays38%
0.06Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.