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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Energie Cottbus41%
Draw26%
Karlsruher SC33%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.41

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession45%
31%Territory40%
12%From set plays32%
0.10Chance quality0.09
8.8%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Energie Cottbus, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.