2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Magdeburg
MAG
Hertha BSC
HER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Magdeburg35%
Draw26%
Hertha BSC39%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.54
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession48%
36%Territory35%
26%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Magdeburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.