2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Magdeburg
MAG
Hertha BSC
HER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Magdeburg31%
Draw27%
Hertha BSC42%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.50
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Magdeburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
60%Possession59%
38%Territory39%
44%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.15
7.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.