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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Hannover 96

HAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC27%
Draw24%
Hannover 9649%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.80

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.7%
  • 129.5%
  • 018.6%
  • 027.1%
  • 216.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession55%
40%Territory40%
43%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.