2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim48%
Draw25%
Greuther Fürth27%
Expected goals
1.76 – 1.29
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–08.8%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Greuther Fürth will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.
40%Possession55%
30%Territory40%
28%From set plays10%
0.17Chance quality0.10
9.1%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.