2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim59%
Draw22%
Greuther Fürth18%
Expected goals
1.98 – 1.05
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.1%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Heidenheim get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession50%
34%Territory27%
45%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.06
7.6%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Greuther Fürth
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.