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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Darmstadt

DAR

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Darmstadt37%
Draw29%
Kaiserslautern34%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.24

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 1010.5%
  • 0110.1%
  • 009.2%
  • 218.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kaiserslautern will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

39%Possession48%
25%Territory41%
50%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.4%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.