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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Wolfsburg

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Energie Cottbus35%
Draw26%
Wolfsburg39%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.59

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Energie Cottbus will not mind.

45%Possession62%
31%Territory39%
14%From set plays20%
0.10Chance quality0.06
8.9%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Energie Cottbus, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.