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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Eintracht Braunschweig41%
Draw29%
VfL Osnabrück31%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.14

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 1–011.5%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Eintracht Braunschweig will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

51%Possession42%
35%Territory34%
17%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.15
5.9%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.