2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Bochum
BOC
Dynamo Dresden
DYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum47%
Draw27%
Dynamo Dresden26%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.07
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–08.7%
- 0–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dynamo Dresden get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession58%
37%Territory31%
26%From set plays42%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.