2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Wolfsburg
WOL
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Wolfsburg50%
Draw24%
Karlsruher SC27%
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.35
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–06.9%
- 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
56%Possession49%
35%Territory40%
31%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.1%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.