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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Wolfsburg

WOL

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsburg50%
Draw25%
Karlsruher SC25%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.22

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Karlsruher SC will not mind.

62%Possession45%
39%Territory40%
20%From set plays32%
0.06Chance quality0.09
4.1%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.