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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfL Osnabrück39%
Draw29%
Bochum32%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.19

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.2%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bochum get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

42%Possession45%
34%Territory40%
21%From set plays39%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.