2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
VfL Osnabrück
VFL
Bochum
BOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
VfL Osnabrück39%
Draw29%
Bochum32%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.20
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bochum get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession45%
34%Territory39%
21%From set plays38%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.