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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfL Osnabrück31%
Draw28%
Bochum41%

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.38

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bochum will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

40%Possession55%
32%Territory37%
26%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.