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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dynamo Dresden40%
Draw26%
FC Heidenheim34%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.39

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.7%
  • 108.7%
  • 218.7%
  • 017.8%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Dynamo Dresden will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

58%Possession40%
31%Territory30%
42%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.17
4.0%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dynamo Dresden, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.