2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Kaiserslautern
KAI
St. Pauli
STP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kaiserslautern38%
Draw27%
St. Pauli34%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.34
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; Kaiserslautern will not mind.
44%Possession56%
29%Territory42%
19%From set plays31%
0.11Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for St. Pauli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.