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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Holstein Kiel

HOL

Magdeburg

MAG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Holstein Kiel34%
Draw28%
Magdeburg38%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.36

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–110.1%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; Holstein Kiel will not mind.

45%Possession60%
28%Territory38%
30%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.11
7.2%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Holstein Kiel, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.