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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Hertha BSC

HER

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hertha BSC57%
Draw23%
Eintracht Braunschweig20%

Expected goals

1.99 – 1.13

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–08.7%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession46%
35%Territory37%
28%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.