Skip to content

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Hertha BSC

HER

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hertha BSC60%
Draw24%
Eintracht Braunschweig16%

Expected goals

1.78 – 0.82

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.8%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

59%Possession51%
39%Territory35%
7%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.