2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Hertha BSC
HER
Eintracht Braunschweig
EIN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC60%
Draw24%
Eintracht Braunschweig16%
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.82
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.8%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
59%Possession51%
39%Territory35%
7%From set plays17%
0.15Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.