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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 20

Hannover 96

HAN

Darmstadt

DAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9654%
Draw24%
Darmstadt21%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.07

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.8%
  • 208.9%
  • 006.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hannover 96 will have the ball; Darmstadt will not mind.

55%Possession39%
40%Territory25%
25%From set plays50%
0.14Chance quality0.12
4.3%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Darmstadt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.