Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Wolfsburg

WOL

Hannover 96

HAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Wolfsburg31%
Draw26%
Hannover 9643%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.64

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

56%Possession55%
35%Territory40%
31%From set plays25%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.1%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Wolfsburg, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.