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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

1. FC Nürnberg57%
Draw23%
Greuther Fürth20%

Expected goals

1.94 – 1.11

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; Greuther Fürth will not mind.

61%Possession50%
42%Territory27%
24%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.06
5.0%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.