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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Magdeburg

MAG

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Magdeburg52%
Draw25%
VfL Osnabrück24%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.15

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.3%
  • 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

52%Possession40%
36%Territory32%
26%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.13
6.8%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.