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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Karlsruher SC33%
Draw27%
Kaiserslautern41%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.49

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession48%
40%Territory41%
43%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.