2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Karlsruher SC35%
Draw27%
Kaiserslautern39%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.46
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession44%
40%Territory29%
32%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Karlsruher SC, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.