2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
FC Heidenheim
FCH
Hertha BSC
HER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Heidenheim28%
Draw26%
Hertha BSC46%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.63
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Heidenheim get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession59%
34%Territory39%
45%From set plays7%
0.09Chance quality0.15
7.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.