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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Hertha BSC

HER

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Heidenheim35%
Draw26%
Hertha BSC40%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.61

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.1%
  • 128.6%
  • 217.9%
  • 017.7%
  • 107.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hertha BSC will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

40%Possession48%
30%Territory35%
28%From set plays28%
0.17Chance quality0.12
9.1%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Hertha BSC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.