2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Darmstadt
DAR
Dynamo Dresden
DYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Darmstadt39%
Draw28%
Dynamo Dresden33%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.26
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Dynamo Dresden get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession49%
38%Territory31%
22%From set plays39%
0.08Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Dynamo Dresden. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.