Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Arminia Bielefeld

ARM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Energie Cottbus32%
Draw28%
Arminia Bielefeld41%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.43

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Arminia Bielefeld get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession43%
31%Territory34%
14%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.07
8.9%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Energie Cottbus, 3 for Arminia Bielefeld. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.