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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Bochum

BOC

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Bochum42%
Draw30%
Eintracht Braunschweig28%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.02

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–011.2%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Bochum get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession51%
40%Territory35%
39%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.8%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.