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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfL Osnabrück38%
Draw26%
FC Heidenheim36%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.46

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Heidenheim will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

42%Possession51%
34%Territory34%
21%From set plays45%
0.15Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.