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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Wolfsburg

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kaiserslautern44%
Draw26%
Wolfsburg30%

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.31

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Kaiserslautern will not mind.

44%Possession62%
29%Territory39%
19%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.06
5.7%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.