Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Hertha BSC

HER

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hertha BSC58%
Draw24%
Bochum17%

Expected goals

1.74 – 0.86

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.5%
  • 2–011.0%
  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hertha BSC will have the ball; Bochum will not mind.

59%Possession45%
39%Territory40%
7%From set plays39%
0.15Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.