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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Hannover 96

HAN

Energie Cottbus

ENE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9661%
Draw21%
Energie Cottbus17%

Expected goals

2.09 – 1.06

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hannover 96 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession45%
37%Territory31%
44%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.4%Directness8.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.