2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Hannover 96
HAN
Energie Cottbus
ENE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hannover 9659%
Draw21%
Energie Cottbus20%
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.22
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession49%
40%Territory41%
25%From set plays23%
0.14Chance quality0.11
4.3%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.