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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Dynamo Dresden

DYN

Wolfsburg

WOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Dynamo Dresden46%
Draw25%
Wolfsburg29%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.35

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Wolfsburg will have the ball; Dynamo Dresden will not mind.

49%Possession62%
31%Territory39%
39%From set plays20%
0.15Chance quality0.06
4.7%Directness4.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dynamo Dresden, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.