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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Magdeburg

MAG

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Magdeburg47%
Draw25%
FC Heidenheim29%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.35

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Magdeburg will have the ball; FC Heidenheim will not mind.

60%Possession51%
38%Territory34%
44%From set plays45%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Magdeburg, 3 for FC Heidenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.