2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Energie Cottbus
ENE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kaiserslautern50%
Draw25%
Energie Cottbus25%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.23
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession49%
41%Territory41%
28%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kaiserslautern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.