2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Energie Cottbus
ENE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kaiserslautern54%
Draw24%
Energie Cottbus23%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.18
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–08.2%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession45%
29%Territory31%
19%From set plays12%
0.11Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness8.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kaiserslautern, 3 for Energie Cottbus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.