2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Holstein Kiel
HOL
Bochum
BOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Holstein Kiel38%
Draw30%
Bochum32%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.12
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–011.0%
- 0–110.8%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession45%
28%Territory39%
30%From set plays38%
0.11Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Holstein Kiel, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Holstein Kiel
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.