2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Hertha BSC
HER
1. FC Nürnberg
FCN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hertha BSC61%
Draw22%
1. FC Nürnberg17%
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.04
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.0%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–09.6%
- 3–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
1. FC Nürnberg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
59%Possession61%
39%Territory42%
7%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.07
4.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hertha BSC, 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.