2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Karlsruher SC
KAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Greuther Fürth39%
Draw27%
Karlsruher SC34%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.31
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession45%
27%Territory40%
18%From set plays32%
0.06Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness6.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Greuther Fürth
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.