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2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17

Greuther Fürth

GRE

Karlsruher SC

KAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Greuther Fürth46%
Draw25%
Karlsruher SC29%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.36

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.8%
  • 219.3%
  • 108.3%
  • 127.0%
  • 206.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Karlsruher SC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

55%Possession49%
40%Territory40%
10%From set plays43%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Karlsruher SC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.