2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Arminia Bielefeld
ARM
Hannover 96
HAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arminia Bielefeld35%
Draw29%
Hannover 9636%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.28
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession50%
34%Territory37%
33%From set plays44%
0.07Chance quality0.10
6.5%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arminia Bielefeld, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arminia Bielefeld
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.