2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Arminia Bielefeld
ARM
Hannover 96
HAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Arminia Bielefeld35%
Draw28%
Hannover 9638%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.39
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession55%
33%Territory40%
33%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Arminia Bielefeld, 3 for Hannover 96. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Arminia Bielefeld
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.