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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

1. FC Nürnberg

FCN

VfL Osnabrück

VFL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

1. FC Nürnberg59%
Draw23%
VfL Osnabrück18%

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.97

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.5%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

1. FC Nürnberg will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.

54%Possession40%
35%Territory32%
13%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for 1. FC Nürnberg, 3 for VfL Osnabrück. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.