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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

FC Heidenheim

FCH

Eintracht Braunschweig

EIN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Heidenheim48%
Draw26%
Eintracht Braunschweig26%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.13

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Heidenheim get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession51%
34%Territory35%
45%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.08
7.6%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Heidenheim, 3 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.