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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16

Hannover 96

HAN

Kaiserslautern

KAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9651%
Draw25%
Kaiserslautern24%

Expected goals

1.72 – 1.15

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hannover 96 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession44%
37%Territory29%
44%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.