2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Hannover 96
HAN
Kaiserslautern
KAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hannover 9649%
Draw26%
Kaiserslautern25%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.10
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession48%
40%Territory41%
25%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Kaiserslautern. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.