2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Darmstadt
DAR
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Darmstadt50%
Draw27%
Greuther Fürth23%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.97
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.0%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–09.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession50%
38%Territory27%
22%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.06
4.5%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Darmstadt, 3 for Greuther Fürth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Greuther Fürth
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.