2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Bochum
BOC
Magdeburg
MAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum44%
Draw28%
Magdeburg28%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.14
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–011.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession52%
37%Territory36%
26%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.