2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Bochum
BOC
Magdeburg
MAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum36%
Draw28%
Magdeburg36%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.31
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–08.5%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Magdeburg will have the ball; Bochum will not mind.
45%Possession60%
39%Territory38%
38%From set plays44%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.1%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.