2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
VfL Osnabrück
VFL
St. Pauli
STP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
VfL Osnabrück37%
Draw28%
St. Pauli35%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.
42%Possession56%
34%Territory42%
21%From set plays31%
0.15Chance quality0.11
4.9%Directness2.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for St. Pauli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 90 matches, not the full season.