2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
VfL Osnabrück
VFL
St. Pauli
STP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
VfL Osnabrück38%
Draw29%
St. Pauli33%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.22
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.8%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Pauli will have the ball; VfL Osnabrück will not mind.
40%Possession52%
32%Territory47%
26%From set plays32%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfL Osnabrück, 3 for St. Pauli. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.